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TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
2100 UTC MON SEP 07 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  42.4W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  42.4W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  42.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.9N  42.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.8N  43.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.6N  45.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.3N  46.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE  70SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.8N  48.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  70SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.1N  50.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 21.8N  53.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 24.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  42.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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