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TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092020
0300 UTC SUN AUG 02 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOCA RATON TO THE VOLUSIA/FLAGLER COUNTY LINE FLORIDA
* BIMINI...THE BERRY ISLANDS...AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET TO PONTE VEDRA BEACH FLORIDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO SOUTH OF BOCA RATON FLORIDA
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* VOLUSIA/FLAGLER COUNTY LINE TO PONTE VEDRA BEACH FLORIDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PONTE VEDRA BEACH FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH
CAROLINA
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS OF
THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAIAS.  ADDITIONAL
WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  79.1W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  45SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  79.1W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  78.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 26.6N  79.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 28.0N  80.5W...ON COAST
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 29.7N  80.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 32.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 35.3N  78.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 39.7N  74.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 47.0N  66.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 51.5N  57.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N  79.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 02/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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