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TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072020
0900 UTC THU JUL 23 2020
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.

INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE 
REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  47.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  15SE  15SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  47.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N  46.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 10.1N  48.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 10.4N  51.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 10.9N  53.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 12.2N  60.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.0N  63.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 14.8N  68.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 16.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N  47.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 23/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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