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TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062020
2100 UTC THU JUL 09 2020
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
35.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BRIDGEPORT CT 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) 23(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEW HAVEN CT 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 17(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ALBANY NY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) 15(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
POUGHKEEPSIE 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLIP NY 34 X 2( 2) 26(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 6( 6) 24(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NYC CNTRL PARK 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NEWARK NJ 34 X 2( 2) 19(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEWARK NJ 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
TRENTON NJ 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
TRENTON NJ 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X 5( 5) 20(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
NWS EARLE NJ 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NWS EARLE NJ 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 14(14) 10(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
DOVER DE 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 4 17(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 11 17(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WALLOPS CDA 34 12 7(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
WALLOPS CDA 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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