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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
700 PM CDT Mon Jun 01 2020
 
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO
PORTIONS OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...19.6N 91.6W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 91.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h).
This motion at a slower forward speed is expected tonight. The
depression is forecast to turn west-southwestward or southward at a
slower forward speed on Tuesday, and meander over the southern Bay
of Campeche through late Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of the cyclone is forecast to be near the coast of the
southern Bay of Campeche Tuesday night through Thursday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next couple of
days and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
tonight or Tuesday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Three can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
RAINFALL:  Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rain
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over parts of the Mexican states
of Tabasco and Veracruz and adjacent portions of Guatemala. This
system is also expected to produce rain accumulations of 5 to 10
inches over parts of El Salvador and Honduras. Isolated maximum
rainfall amounts of 20 inches are possible in the Mexican states of
Tabasco, Veracruz, Oaxaca and portions of Guatemala. This rainfall
may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area Tuesday night.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
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