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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020
0300 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND A
STORM SURGE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA
ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  90.4W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  90.4W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  90.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.1N  90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.9N  90.2W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N  90.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...210NE 210SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.3N  90.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 26.3N  90.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.3N  90.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 32.6N  92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 37.3N  90.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  90.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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