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TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202019
0300 UTC SAT NOV 16 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF RAYMOND.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 109.8W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 109.8W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.6N 110.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.3N 110.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.3N 109.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.4N 109.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 26.0N 110.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 109.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO


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