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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172019
1500 UTC WED OCT 16 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE TONALA TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  96.2W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  96.2W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  95.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.3N  97.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  96.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 16/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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