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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Narda Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162019
1000 PM CDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...DISTURBANCE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM NARDA...
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 100.6W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Narda was
located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 100.6 West. Narda is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). This motion is
expected to continue during the next couple of days, bringing Narda
very near or over the southwestern coast of Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
However, if the center moves closer to the coast and interacts with
the high terrain of Mexico, weakening could occur.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by later tonight or early Sunday,
making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

RAINFALL:  The disturbance is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
15 inches along the southwestern coast of Mexico from Oaxaca to
Nayarit through Monday. This rainfall will cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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