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TROPICAL STORM MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142019
0300 UTC WED SEP 18 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 109.3W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 109.3W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 108.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.2N 110.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE  70SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.3N 113.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.7N 113.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.9N 113.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  90SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N 115.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 109.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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