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TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132019
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC THU SEP 12 2019

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ISLA CLARION   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

15N 115W       34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

20N 115W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

15N 120W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   7(17)   1(18)   X(18)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)  23(37)   2(39)   X(39)
20N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   1(12)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)  34(51)   6(57)
20N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  16(19)   3(22)
20N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)

25N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER CHENARD/BLAKE
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