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TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132019
2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 133.9W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 133.9W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 133.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.7N 134.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 136.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  10SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.2N 137.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.5N 138.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.0N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 17.5N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 133.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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