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TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102019
2100 UTC FRI AUG 23 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 115.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 120SE 150SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 115.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 115.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.9N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 120SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.4N 116.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  80SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.1N 117.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  50SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.8N 118.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.7N 118.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 115.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO/BROWN


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