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TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102019
0300 UTC FRI AUG 23 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 114.1W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  70SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 114.1W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 114.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.5N 115.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.2N 116.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.0N 117.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.6N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 28.5N 120.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 114.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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