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TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032019
2100 UTC SAT JUL 06 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 116.3W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 116.3W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 115.8W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.9N 117.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE   0SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.8N 119.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.8N 120.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.8N 121.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.0N 122.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 116.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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