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TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202019
0300 UTC FRI NOV 22 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  57.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  57.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  58.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 26.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.0N  51.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.3N  47.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.7N  43.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 37.5N  34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  57.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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