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Tropical Storm Karen Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122019
1100 PM AST Wed Sep 25 2019
...KAREN BARELY A TROPICAL STORM WITH AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...24.4N 63.6W
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karen was
located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 63.6 West. Karen is
moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h). A north-
northeastward to northeastward motion with a decrease in forward
speed is expected through early Friday. Karen or its remnants are
then expected to slow down and make a clockwise loop over the
southwestern Atlantic into the weekend.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next several days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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Rainfall: Karen is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 2 inches tonight across the Virgin
Islands, with isolated storm totals of 5 inches. These rains may
cause flash flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous
areas.
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Avila
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