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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082019
0900 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  42.1W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE  70SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  42.1W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N  41.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 31.9N  44.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE  80SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 33.3N  46.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  40SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 35.4N  47.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  40SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 38.0N  47.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  40SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 43.6N  40.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 50.7N  26.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 59.4N   7.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N  42.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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