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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082019
1500 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  38.7W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  75SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  38.7W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  38.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.9N  40.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  20SE  20SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 30.7N  43.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 32.1N  46.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.4N  48.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 37.6N  47.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 42.6N  41.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 50.0N  29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  38.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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