Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression ERIN


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062019
0300 UTC THU AUG 29 2019

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)  16(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   6( 6)  12(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER LATTO/PASCH
NNNN