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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression ERIN


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062019               
2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)  13(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   1( 1)  19(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
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