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Hurricane Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 54A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052019
800 PM EDT Fri Sep 06 2019

...DORIAN RACING NORTHEATWARD AWAY FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA
SCOTIA LATE SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.4N 71.6W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM SW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning south of Fenwick Island DE, and for
the Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward have been discontinued.

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Eastern Nova Scotia from Hubbards to Avonport

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Southwestern Nova Scotia from Avonport to Hubbards
* Prince Edward Island
* Magdalen Islands
* Southwestern Newfoundland from Parson's Pond to Indian
Harbour

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Woods Hole to Sagamore Beach MA
* Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard MA
* East of Bar Harbor to Eastport ME
* Prince Edward Island
* Southwestern Nova Scotia from Avonport to Hubbards

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Fundy National Park to Shediac
* Parson's Pond to Triton
* Indian Harbour to Stone's Cove

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area in this case within the next 12
to 24 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of
the United States should monitor the progress of Dorian.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dorian was located
near latitude 37.4 North, longitude 71.6 West. Dorian is moving
toward the northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h), and this general motion
with an additional increase in forward speed is expected through
Sunday.  On the forecast track, the center of Dorian should move
move to the southeast of extreme southeastern New England tonight
and Saturday morning, and then across Nova Scotia late Saturday or
Saturday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours.
After that time, Dorian is forecast to become a post-tropical
cyclone with hurricane-force winds Saturday night or Sunday while it
is near or over eastern Canada.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230
miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gusts of tropical-storm-force could still occur over portions
of the coast of the Mid-Atlantic states, but these winds should
subside tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the
warning area over portions of extreme southeastern Massachusetts
tonight or early Saturday, and in the warning area in Maine Saturday
afternoon.

Regardless of whether Dorian is a hurricane or a post-tropical
cyclone, hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning
area Saturday or Saturday night, and they are possible in the
Hurricane Watch area Saturday or Saturday night.  Tropical storm
conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area in Canada
by Saturday, and they are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area
Saturday and Saturday night.

STORM SURGE:  Water levels along the North Carolina coast will
continue to recede throughout the evening. For information specific
to your area, please see products issued by your local National
Weather Service forecast office.

Storm Surge is likely in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, the Southwest
Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova Scotia.

RAINFALL:  Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Saturday:

Extreme Southeastern New England and far eastern Maine...1 to 4
inches.

Nova Scotia...3 to 5 inches, isolated 7 inches.

New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island...2 to 4 inches

Newfoundland...1 to 2 inches

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods

SURF:  Large swells will affect much of the southeastern United
States coast from northern Florida through North Carolina during
the next couple of days.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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