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HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019
0900 UTC SAT AUG 31 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANDROS ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DORIAN.  WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  72.6W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  72.6W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  72.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 26.1N  74.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N  75.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 26.7N  77.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.9N  78.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.5N  79.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 32.0N  80.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N  72.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 31/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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