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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...VICENTE MEANDERING OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA...
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EL
SALVADOR, GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 92.5W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM W OF PUERTO SAN JOSE GUATEMALA
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF TAPACHULA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of the depression.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), radar data from Guatemala and satellite
imagery indicated that the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 92.5 West. Vicente is
moving toward the west-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). An increase
in forward speed and a turn toward the west is expected tonight,
followed by a turn toward the southwest on Saturday. On the forecast
track, the center of Vicente should gradually move away from the
coasts of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico tonight and tomorrow.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slow strengthening is possible during the next few days.

Vicente is a small tropical storm, and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Through Wednesday morning, Vicente is expected to
produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with local amounts to 15 inches
across portions of El Salvador and southern Guatemala, with 3 to 6
inches and local amounts to 10 inches near the Pacific coast of
southeastern Mexico.  This rainfall could produce life-threatening
flash flooding and landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

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