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Tropical Storm SERGIO


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212018               
0900 UTC THU OCT 11 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X  13(13)   9(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
P ABREOJOS     34  X  30(30)  46(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   3( 3)  31(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)  19(19)  22(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
HERMOSILLO     50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   2( 2)  40(42)   3(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)  12(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
BAHIA KINO     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   2( 2)  40(42)   3(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
GUAYMAS        64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
20N 115W       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
25N 115W       34  4  78(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
25N 115W       50  X  45(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
25N 115W       64  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
20N 120W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 120W       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
25N 120W       34  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS                                                  
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