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HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102018
0300 UTC WED AUG 08 2018
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 51004 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
BUOY 51004 50 44 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
BUOY 51004 64 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
20N 154W 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 155W 34 1 10(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
HILO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
18N 156W 34 1 81(82) 5(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
18N 156W 50 X 31(31) 7(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
18N 156W 64 X 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
SOUTH POINT 34 1 28(29) 4(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
21N 156W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KAILUA-KONA 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
KAHULUI 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
21N 158W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HANA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LANAI CITY 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BUOY 51002 34 1 26(27) 71(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
BUOY 51002 50 X 3( 3) 85(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) 68(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
HONOLULU 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 160W 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 12(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
15N 160W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 160W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BUOY 51003 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 33(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49)
BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
15N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 1(24) X(24)
15N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 30(34) 1(35) X(35)
20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
20N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 27(55) 1(56)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) X(22)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12)
15N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) X(15)
20N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 47(62) 2(64)
20N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 1(32)
20N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18)
25N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
MARO REEF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 40(68)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 29(37)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16)
25N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
25N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
LAYSAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
LISIANSKI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
PEARL/HERMES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MIDWAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
NNNN
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