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Hurricane HECTOR


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102018               
2100 UTC SAT AUG 04 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 135W       34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
15N 135W       50 62   4(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
15N 135W       64 10   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
15N 140W       34  X   4( 4)  90(94)   3(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)  72(72)  15(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)  45(45)  20(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)  61(83)   X(83)   X(83)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  50(52)   X(52)   X(52)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  31(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  35(35)  23(58)   X(58)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  16(25)   X(25)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   X(13)
 
20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   X(16)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   X(18)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  63(68)   2(70)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  36(37)   1(38)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   1(19)
 
20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   4(22)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
20N 154W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  33(33)  13(46)
15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   8(19)
15N 155W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   6(15)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)
BRADSHAW AAF   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  33(33)  26(59)
18N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  20(30)
18N 156W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)  15(40)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  13(27)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)
21N 158W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
 
HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   7(14)
HANA           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
LANAI CITY     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  52(66)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  29(31)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  29(31)
15N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
15N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)
20N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
20N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)
21N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)
BUOY 51003     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
BUOY 51003     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
22N 164W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
15N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
20N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
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