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Tropical Depression DANIEL


ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Depression Daniel Discussion Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052018
200 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018

Convection associated with Daniel continues to diminish as the
cyclone moves over cooler water, and most satellite intensity
estimates have dropped below tropical-storm strength. Thus, Daniel
is downgraded to a tropical depression.  The system should continue
to weaken over sea surface temperatures near 23C, and it is forecast
to degenerate into a remnant low by 24 h and to dissipate completely
between 48-72 h.

The initial motion is now 305/7.  Daniel should turn more westward
during the next 24 h as low-level easterly flow on the south side
of the subtropical ridge becomes the main steering mechanism, and
this motion should continue through dissipation.  The new track
forecast is similar to the previous forecast and it is a little
north of the center of the guidance envelope.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/2100Z 19.4N 118.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  26/0600Z 19.8N 119.4W   25 KT  30 MPH
 24H  26/1800Z 20.0N 121.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  27/0600Z 20.1N 123.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  27/1800Z 20.0N 125.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

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