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Hurricane BUD


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BULLETIN
Hurricane Bud Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
600 AM MDT Mon Jun 11 2018

...HURRICANE BUD WELL OFFSHORE THE MEXICAN COAST WITH 115-MPH
WINDS...


SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 106.5W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Bud was located near
latitude 16.4 North, longitude 106.5 West.  Bud is moving toward the
northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue today and tonight with a decrease in forward speed.  A turn
toward the north-northwest is expected on Tuesday, and a slow
north-northwest motion should continue into mid-week.  On the
forecast track, the core of Bud and its stronger winds are expected
to remain well offshore of the southwestern coast of mainland Mexico
during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Bud is now a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening
is possible today, but a slow weakening trend is expected to begin
by early Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125
miles (205 km). A ship report indicates that tropical-storm-force
winds are occuring just offshore of the tropical storm watch area.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches across much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches into Tuesday afternoon.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
beginning this afternoon.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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