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Hurricane ISAAC


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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092018
0900 UTC MON SEP 10 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PT GALLINAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

CURACAO        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)

AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)

SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)

VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   7(20)
VIEQUES PR     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
VIEQUES PR     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   6(19)
SAINT THOMAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
SAINT THOMAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   8(25)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
SAINT CROIX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)   3(23)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
SAINT MAARTEN  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  26(28)   4(32)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  23(27)   2(29)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)
BARBUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  29(34)   2(36)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   1(12)
ANTIGUA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  36(44)   2(46)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   1(18)
GUADELOUPE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  32(33)   7(40)
AVES           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   4(16)
AVES           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  38(47)   2(49)
DOMINICA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   2(21)
DOMINICA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  32(42)   1(43)
MARTINIQUE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)   1(18)
MARTINIQUE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  24(31)   1(32)
SAINT LUCIA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   1(13)
SAINT LUCIA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  17(22)   1(23)
SAINT VINCENT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)
SAINT VINCENT  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  11(24)   X(24)
BARBADOS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)
BARBADOS       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

GRENADA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   1(12)
GRENADA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
GRENADA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

TRINIDADTOBAGO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)

JUANGRIEGO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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