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TROPICAL STORM GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
1500 UTC MON SEP 03 2018
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NAPLES FL 34 46 X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
FT MYERS FL 34 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
VENICE FL 34 31 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 24(24) 6(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 2( 2) 34(36) X(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 2(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 1( 1) 39(40) 2(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 12(12) 75(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 X 1( 1) 46(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 52(52) 15(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 45(45) 25(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 20(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 25(25) 36(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23)
STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 16(16) 16(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
BURAS LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 8(38) X(38) X(38)
JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 27(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11) 1(12)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10)
FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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