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TROPICAL STORM GORDON SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
1230 UTC MON SEP 03 2018
AT 1230Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT PIERCE FL 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
W PALM BEACH 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MIAMI FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MARATHON FL 34 29 X(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
KEY WEST FL 34 15 1(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
NAPLES FL 34 23 8(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
FT MYERS FL 34 9 9(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
VENICE FL 34 2 16(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
TAMPA FL 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 16(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
APALACHICOLA 34 X 11(11) 23(34) X(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 26(26) 24(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 7( 7) 27(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 4( 4) 27(31) 9(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 17(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 18(28) 3(31) X(31) X(31)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 8( 8) 58(66) 5(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) 20(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 38(43) 6(49) X(49) X(49)
MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 44(48) 8(56) X(56) X(56)
GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17)
GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 44(47) 10(57) X(57) X(57)
STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19)
STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 32(36) 6(42) X(42) X(42)
BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 10(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 17(41) 1(42) X(42)
JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
JACKSON MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 36(38) 9(47) X(47) X(47)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 13(40) X(40) X(40)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12)
BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 9(30) X(30) X(30)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 17(27) X(27) X(27)
ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 11(25) X(25) X(25)
LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 9(23) X(23) X(23)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 2(16) 1(17)
FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 1(17) X(17)
FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11)
CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10)
KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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