ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072018
0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF
COAST FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY...
LOUISIANA... INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  78.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  78.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  78.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.5N  80.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.9N  83.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.5N  86.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 28.8N  88.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.7N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 33.2N  94.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 34.2N  95.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N  78.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


NNNN