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BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Ernesto Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052018
1100 PM AST Wed Aug 15 2018

...ERNESTO MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.7N 45.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Ernesto
was located near latitude 39.7 North, longitude 45.1 West. The storm
is moving toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn
toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is forecast
tonight and early Thursday, with that motion continuing through
Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24
hours. Ernesto is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone
Thursday night or early Friday, and merge with a frontal zone near
Ireland and the United Kingdom on Saturday.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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