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Tropical Depression Selma Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2017
The surface circulation center of Selma continues to move inland
over San Salvador since making landfall just a couple of hours
ago. Conventional imagery, radar data, and surface observations
indicate that Selma has weakened during the past few hours and the
initial intensity has been lowered to 30 kt for this advisory.
Further weakening is forecast today, and Selma should quickly
dissipate over the Sierra Madre Mountains tonight. Selma should
turn northeastward soon and continue on this general motion until
dissipation tonight, and the global models remain in agreement in
this forecast philosophy.
The primary threat associated with Selma is heavy rainfall with 2
to 5 inches that could cause flash floods in higher terrain over
portions of El Salvador and Guatemala. Gusty winds to
tropical-storm-force are also possible today.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/1500Z 13.7N 88.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
12H 29/0000Z 14.4N 87.6W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND