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TROPICAL STORM MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162017
0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA MALDONADO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA MALDONADO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 
THE
NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 100.5W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 100.5W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 100.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.9N  99.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 100.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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