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HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132017
1500 UTC TUE AUG 22 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 133.1W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 133.1W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 132.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.2N 133.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.1N 134.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 25.7N 135.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.1N 136.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 28.7N 136.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 30.0N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 31.0N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 133.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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