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TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102017
0300 UTC THU JUL 27 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 123.1W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 123.1W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 122.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.8N 123.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.6N 124.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.6N 125.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.7N 125.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.2N 124.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 19.7N 125.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 123.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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