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HURRICANE IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102017
0300 UTC WED JUL 26 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 120.9W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 120.9W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 120.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.7N 121.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.9N 123.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.7N 124.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 18.2N 123.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 22.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 120.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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