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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042017
1500 UTC TUE JUN 27 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.2W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  80SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.2W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 109.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.8N 111.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.4N 113.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.5N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 110.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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