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TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042017
1500 UTC SUN JUN 25 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 101.8W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  30SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 101.8W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 101.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.8N 103.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.8N 105.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.8N 106.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.6N 108.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.6N 111.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 101.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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