ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHTEEN
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182017
0300 UTC SAT OCT 28 2017
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MIAMI FL 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
MARATHON FL 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
KEY WEST FL 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 21(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 1( 1) 53(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ANDROS 34 X 2( 2) 38(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
ANDROS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HAVANA 34 X 23(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
ISLE OF PINES 34 4 55(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X 49(49) 4(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAMAGUEY 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 8 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN