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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
2100 UTC FRI OCT 13 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
AZORES WEATHER FORECAST AND WATCH CENTER.
 
INTERESTS IN IRELAND SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY MET 
EIREANN... AND INTERESTS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD MONITOR 
PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY THE UK MET OFFICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  31.8W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  31.8W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  32.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 33.4N  29.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 35.2N  25.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 38.2N  20.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 180SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 43.1N  16.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 220SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 53.2N  10.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 270SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 60.5N   2.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N  31.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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