ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
0900 UTC FRI OCT 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
AZORES WEATHER FORECAST AND WATCH CENTER.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  33.9W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  33.9W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  34.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.8N  32.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 33.1N  29.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 35.0N  25.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  35SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 150SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 37.9N  20.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 200SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 47.9N  13.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...100NE 130SE 110SW  90NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 57.5N   6.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...EAST OF THE PRIME MERIDIAN

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N  33.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


NNNN