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TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
1500 UTC THU SEP 28 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  69.3W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE 160SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 240SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  69.3W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  70.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.9N  66.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 170SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 37.4N  62.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 180SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 38.8N  56.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  70SE  70SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 200SE 190SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 41.3N  48.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 230SE 220SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 47.9N  31.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N  69.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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