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TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142017
2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  34.2W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  34.2W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  33.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.6N  35.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.7N  36.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 13.2N  38.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.9N  39.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.9N  43.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.5N  47.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N  51.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  34.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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