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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  53
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
1500 UTC MON SEP 18 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WATCH HILL... RHODE
ISLAND... TO HULL... MASSACHUSETTS... INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND...
MARTHA'S VINEYARD... AND NANTUCKET.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL TO HULL
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FENWICK ISLAND TO SANDY HOOK
* DELAWARE BAY SOUTH
* EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO WATCH HILL

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N  71.1W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......190NE 200SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 300SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N  71.1W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  71.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.1N  71.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.7N  71.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.2N  70.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.4N  70.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N  67.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.1N  68.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 38.5N  68.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N  71.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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