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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
1500 UTC TUE SEP 05 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS
OF JOSE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  39.1W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  39.1W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  38.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 12.8N  40.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.4N  43.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.9N  46.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.4N  49.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 18.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  39.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA


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