Hurricane IRMA

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HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112017
1500 UTC FRI SEP 01 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  37.8W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  45SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  37.8W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  37.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.7N  39.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.5N  41.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.0N  44.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.3N  46.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.2N  51.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 16.7N  55.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 18.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  37.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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