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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017
1500 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 24(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WORCESTER MA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HYANNIS MA 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HARTFORD CT 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW LONDON CT 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLIP NY 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WALLOPS CDA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK NAS 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK VA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 78 X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
CHERRY PT NC 34 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
NEW RIVER NC 34 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 50 X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
SURF CITY NC 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
WILMINGTON NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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